The latest YouGov MRP model has shown which parties would gain seats at Westminster if Renfrewshire voters headed to the polls now. 

Following last year's review of UK parliament constituencies, a new constituency of Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West will be contested at the next General Election, along with the revised constituencies of Paisley and Renfrewshire South, and Paisley and Renfrewshire North.

The results of the model show that in Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West, the SNP would take the seat with 37% of the vote, while Labour, meanwhile, would win 36% of the vote, the Conservatives 13%, Lib Dems 4%, Reform 3%, the Greens 2% and those categorised as '"other" 5%.

In Paisley and Renfrewshire South, the poll also predicts the SNP would take seat, this time with 40% of the vote.

Labour, meanwhile would win 33% of the vote in the constituency, the Conservatives 13%, the Lib Dems 5%, Reform 3%, the Greens 2% and those categorised as "other" 5%.

Finally, in Paisley and Renfrewshire North, it shows that Labour would narrowly pip the SNP to the post by just 1% of the ballots cast, winning a total of 37% of the vote.

The Conservatives, meanwhile, it predicts, would win 14% of the vote in the seat, the Lib Dems 4%, Reform 2%, the Greens 2% and those categorised as other 5%.

 

 

Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has said he expects to call a general election "in the second half" of 2024.

The YouGov MRP model was commissioned by Conservative Britain Alliance and uses data from 14,110 respondents answering between December 12 and January 4.

On a UK-wide basis, the results released in the Telegraph on Sunday night show that Labour would win a large majority “were the election to be held today.”

More specifically, it shows that Keir Starmer would enter Downing Street having secured a 120-seat majority, with Labour winning 385 Commons seats.

This would be a 183-seat increase for the party since the last election.

The Conservatives meanwhile would slump to just 169, losing 196 seats compared to 2019.

These results YouGov said are “reminiscent of the 1997 general election outcome”, which saw Tony Blair’s Labour win 418 seats and John Major’s Conservatives take 165.

Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrats would receive 48 seats, also similar to their 1997 haul, making them a notable Parliamentary force once again.

The SNP on the other hand would fall to 25 seats, with Labour making significant gains in the central belt, according to the results of the model.